French election: Polling overview

My colleague James Kanagasooriam and I have written a detailed polling overview of the first and second round polls. It is chapter four in this French election guide by Matthew Elliott, published by the Legatum Institute on 22 April.

Our view was that the Macron-Le Pen run-off was the most likely scenario.

You can read the full report here, or go straight to the analysis on the Populus website.

I was also on Monocle 24’s ‘The Briefing‘ show with Andrew Tuck to discuss the polls on 24 April (14″ in).

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